Today: Mar 31 , 2020

1st Week of February Cool & Dry
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03 February 2020   Dr. Mark Sinclair, Ph.D.

Dig out the jackets, but no umbrella needed for a few days.

A cool and dry week in store, but with some warming by next weekend. Today’s storm was a fizzer, with predicted snow unlikely as dew point temperatures (related to moisture content) plummet and winds quickly turn to colder northwesterly. 

The only “excitement” is some rather low temperatures, both tonight and tomorrow night, where temperatures will drop into the teens.

Forecast table

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/forecast/wxtables/

Navigate on the map to your location and click. 

Weather Forecast:

For this week, cool and dry conditions will continue through mid-week, with highs today remaining in the 40s and lows in the teens tonight and Tuesday night. Tomorrow will be even cooler, with highs struggling to get out of the 30s, except at lower elevations of our region. Thursday into the weekend will be warmer, with Friday and Saturday again reaching into the 60s. Next week looks to be unsettled with some better chances for precipitation.

Additional notes for the weather nuts out there:

Longer range predictions from the GFS (global forecast system) weather forecast model are available. The GFS model is run out to 384 hours, or 16 days ahead.  A meteogram (graph of model output interpolated to a point) for Prescott is shown here. Of course, the further ahead the forecast, the greater the uncertainty. This shows a good likelihood of precipitation next week. 

Mark

Mark Sinclair, Ph.D.                                                                 
Program Chair and Professor, Meteorology                                                                              
Department of Applied Aviation Sciences, College of Aviation


Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!

Further Information:

ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program

Official National Weather Service forecast

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